SAVE Lawsuit Impact Report: The Collapse of Income-Driven Repayment Forgiveness

The SAVE Lawsuit Impact Report

How Legal Challenges Dismantled Income-Driven Repayment Forgiveness and Left Millions of Borrowers in Limbo

The Saving on a Valuable Education (SAVE) plan, launched in 2023 as the most generous federal student loan repayment program, has been effectively eliminated through legal challenges brought by Republican-led states. This report chronicles how the creation of SAVE led to the sunset of the REPAYE plan, and how subsequent lawsuits not only blocked SAVE but also eliminated forgiveness under PAYE and ICR plans, leaving millions of borrowers without a clear path to loan forgiveness.

8M+
Borrowers enrolled in SAVE before the injunction
2M
Pending IDR applications as of April 2025
0%
Interest rate during SAVE forbearance (until Aug 2025)
11.3%
Federal loans currently delinquent (Q2 2025)

Timeline: The Rise and Fall of IDR Forgiveness

SAVE Plan Launches

The Department of Education rolls out the SAVE plan, replacing REPAYE. Key features include: increased income protection (225% of poverty line vs. 150%), eliminated interest capitalization, and reduced payments to 5% of discretionary income for undergraduate loans.

Major Benefit to Borrowers
July 2023

REPAYE Plan Sunsets

All borrowers on the REPAYE plan are automatically transferred to SAVE. The REPAYE plan effectively ceases to exist as an option for new enrollees, consolidated into the new SAVE framework.

Automatic Transition
August 2023

Early SAVE Forgiveness Begins

Department begins forgiving loans for borrowers who originally borrowed $12,000 or less and made 10+ years of payments. 153,000 borrowers receive immediate forgiveness. This marks the beginning of accelerated forgiveness timelines.

$1.2B Forgiven
February 2024

States File Lawsuits Against SAVE

Two groups of Republican-led states file separate lawsuits challenging SAVE. Missouri leads 7 states arguing the plan exceeds statutory authority, while Kansas leads 11 states in a parallel challenge. States claim the Secretary lacks authority to forgive loans through ICR plans.

Legal Challenge Begins
April 2024

First Federal Injunction

Federal court blocks implementation of key SAVE provisions, including the reduced payment calculations and expedited forgiveness timelines. ED places all SAVE borrowers into administrative forbearance with 0% interest accrual.

SAVE Partially Blocked
June 2024

8th Circuit Blocks SAVE Entirely

Appeals court expands injunction to block SAVE plan in its entirety. 7.5 million enrolled borrowers placed in indefinite forbearance. Months in forbearance don't count toward PSLF or IDR forgiveness. ED attempts to revive REPAYE forgiveness provisions as workaround.

Complete SAVE Shutdown
July 18, 2024

ED Reopens ICR and PAYE Plans

In response to ongoing litigation, Department reopens ICR and PAYE plans that had been sunset in July 2024. This provides alternative IDR options for borrowers, though forgiveness provisions remain uncertain due to court challenges.

Limited Options Return
December 2024

8th Circuit Final Ruling

Court affirms that Secretary lacks authority to forgive loans through ICR plans. Ruling blocks forgiveness under SAVE, PAYE, ICR, and resurrected REPAYE provisions. Trump administration removes all IDR applications from website, creating chaos for millions of borrowers.

All IDR Forgiveness Blocked
Feb 18, 2025

Limited IDR Access Restored

After AFT lawsuit, ED restores applications for IBR, PAYE, and ICR plans. However, forgiveness remains blocked for all plans except IBR. Nearly 2 million applications backlogged. Processing expected to take over 2 years at current rate.

Partial System Restore
March 26, 2025

Interest Resumes for SAVE Borrowers

Trump administration announces interest will resume accruing on August 1 for all borrowers in SAVE forbearance. Borrowers face difficult choice: remain in limbo with growing balances or switch to IBR with higher payments but path to forgiveness.

Financial Pressure Returns
August 1, 2025

Current Status (September 2025)

The federal student loan repayment system is in unprecedented chaos, with millions of borrowers caught in legal and administrative limbo:

SAVE Borrowers

~7 million borrowers remain in forbearance. Interest now accruing but no payments required. No progress toward any forgiveness programs. Expected to remain in limbo until at least fall 2025.

Application Backlog

1.98 million pending IDR applications as of April 2025. Processing only 79,000/month. Estimated 2+ years to clear existing backlog at current rate.

Forgiveness Status

SAVE: Completely blocked
PAYE: Forgiveness blocked
ICR: Forgiveness blocked
IBR: Only plan with functioning forgiveness

Default Rates

11.3% of federal loans delinquent. 4.2 million borrowers 90+ days late. Forbearance/deferment usage doubled since 2024 as borrowers struggle with limited options.

Impact Analysis: The Forgiveness Cliff

The Golden Era of IDR Forgiveness (2021-2025)

From 2021 through early 2025, student loan borrowers experienced unprecedented access to loan forgiveness:

  • IDR Account Adjustment (2022-2025): 1.45 million borrowers received forgiveness through the one-time payment count adjustment, correcting decades of servicer errors.
  • PSLF Waiver (2021-2022): Over 500,000 public servants became eligible for forgiveness under expanded PSLF criteria.
  • SAVE Early Implementation (2024): 153,000 borrowers received immediate forgiveness in February 2024 alone, with thousands more identified monthly.

Forgiveness Success Rate Comparison

18.5%

Hope Credit Clients Forgiven

425 out of 2,300 total clients achieved complete loan forgiveness

4.9%

National Forgiveness Rate

~2.1M forgiven out of 43M+ borrowers nationwide (IDR Adjustment, PSLF Waiver, SAVE)

Key Insight: Hope Credit clients achieved forgiveness at 3.8 times the national rate, demonstrating the critical value of expert guidance during this golden era of forgiveness opportunities. This success was largely driven by strategic use of PSLF, OTA (IDR Adjustment), and BDR programs before the legal challenges began.

Total Debt Forgiven Comparison

$29.8 Million

Hope Credit Client Debt Forgiven

414 clients with $71,934 average forgiveness

$90.2 Billion

National Debt Forgiven

IDR Adjustment ($39B) + PSLF ($50B) + SAVE ($1.2B)

Perspective: While Hope Credit's $29.8 million represents just 0.033% of national forgiveness dollars, the firm's 18.5% client success rate far exceeds the 4.9% national average. This demonstrates that smaller, specialized firms achieved disproportionately high success rates in securing forgiveness for their clients, even if the total dollar amounts were modest compared to national figures.

The February 18, 2025 ruling represents a complete reversal of this trend. The 8th Circuit's decision that the Secretary lacks authority to forgive loans through ICR plans effectively eliminates the primary pathway to forgiveness for non-PSLF borrowers, except for those on IBR.

Why SAVE Borrowers Are Stuck

The current forbearance creates a perfect storm of problems:

  1. No Path Forward: Can't make progress toward forgiveness while in forbearance
  2. Growing Balances: Interest now accruing as of August 1, 2025
  3. Processing Delays: 2+ year backlog to switch to another plan
  4. Higher Payments: IBR requires 10-15% of discretionary income vs. 5% under SAVE
  5. Uncertainty: No clear timeline for resolution of legal challenges

Strategic Recommendations for Borrowers

For SAVE Borrowers Seeking Forgiveness

Strongly Consider Switching to IBR

  • IBR is the ONLY IDR plan currently offering functioning forgiveness
  • Monthly payments will be higher (10-15% vs. 5% of discretionary income)
  • 20-25 year forgiveness timeline remains intact
  • Months in SAVE forbearance won't count toward forgiveness
  • Submit application immediately due to processing backlog

For PSLF-Eligible Borrowers

Switch to IBR Immediately

  • SAVE forbearance months don't count toward 120 payments
  • Can potentially recapture lost months through PSLF Buyback program
  • IBR payments count toward PSLF
  • Don't wait for SAVE resolution - every month matters

For High-Income Borrowers

Consider AGI Reduction Strategies and Alternative Repayment Options

Strategy 1: Maximize Pre-Tax Deductions to Lower IBR Payments

Before switching away from IDR plans, high earners should explore AGI reduction strategies using Hope Credit's AGI Calculator (hopecredit.net/agi-calculator). Key pre-tax deductions that reduce both AGI and IDR payments include:

  • 401(k)/403(b) contributions: Up to $23,000 annually ($30,500 if 50+) - Every $10,000 contributed saves approximately $1,000-$1,500 on IBR payments
  • Health Savings Account (HSA): Up to $4,300 individual / $8,550 family in 2025 - Triple tax benefit plus lower loan payments
  • Flexible Spending Account (FSA): Up to $3,300 for healthcare FSA - Use-it-or-lose-it but immediate payment reduction
  • Traditional IRA contributions: Up to $7,000 ($8,000 if 50+) - Can contribute until tax deadline
  • Self-employed deductions: Health insurance premiums, SEP-IRA contributions, half of self-employment tax

Example: A borrower earning $150,000 who maxes out 401(k), HSA, and FSA contributions could reduce AGI by $34,850, potentially saving $3,485 annually on IBR payments.

Strategy 2: Evaluate Non-IDR Options

  • Standard or Extended Repayment may result in lower payments than IBR for high earners
  • Fixed payments provide predictability and avoid IDR recertification hassles
  • Consider refinancing if credit is strong and forgiveness isn't needed

For Borrowers Who Can Afford to Wait

Strategic Forbearance Considerations

  • Save the money you would have paid toward loans
  • Build emergency fund for when payments resume
  • Monitor legal developments closely
  • Be prepared to act quickly when situation clarifies
  • Remember: interest IS accruing as of August 1, 2025

Looking Ahead: The New Reality

The collapse of SAVE and elimination of forgiveness under most IDR plans represents a fundamental shift in federal student loan policy. Key implications include:

Short-Term (2025-2026)

  • Default Crisis: With 11.3% delinquency and limited affordable options, default rates likely to surge
  • Processing Gridlock: 2+ year backlog means borrowers stuck in limbo
  • Political Pressure: New Repayment Assistance Plan (RAP) debuts July 2026 under Trump legislation

Long-Term Implications

  • End of Generous Forgiveness: Future forgiveness likely limited to statutory IBR provisions
  • Legislative Action Required: Courts have made clear that expansive forgiveness requires Congressional authorization
  • Borrower Behavior Changes: Expect reduced graduate school enrollment, increased private refinancing
Critical Deadline: The Trump administration's One Big Beautiful Bill phases out ICR, PAYE, and SAVE by July 1, 2028. Borrowers on these plans must switch by this date or face mandatory transfer to standard repayment.